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Dryad

Simulating genetic mixing in strongly structured populations of the threatened southern brown bandicoot (Isoodon obesulus)

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Jun 03, 2025 version files 19.68 GB

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Abstract

Genetic mixing aims to increase the genetic diversity of small or isolated populations, by mitigating genetic drift and inbreeding depression, either by maximally increasing genetic diversity, or minimising the prevalence of recessive, deleterious alleles. However, few studies investigate this beyond a single generation of mixing. Here, we model the mixing using captive, low diversity recipient population of the threatened Southern brown bandicoot (Isoodon obesulus) over fifty generations, and compare wild populations across south-eastern Australia as candidate source populations. We first assess genetic differentiation between twelve populations, including the first genomic assessment of three mainland Australian and three Tasmanian populations. We assess genetic diversity in the twelve populations using a novel autosomal heterozygosity pipeline, using these results to identify a candidate recipient population for genetic mixing simulations. We found that populations fell into four major groups of genetic similarity: Adelaide Hills, western Victoria, eastern Victoria, and Tasmania, but populations within these groups were also distinct, and additional substructure was observed in some populations. Our autosomal heterozygosity pipeline indicated significant variability in mean heterozygosity between populations, identifying one extremely genetically degraded population on Inner Sister Island, Tasmania. Genetic mixing simulations of a low heterozygosity captive population in Victoria suggested the greatest increase in heterozygosity would be reached by using highly differentiated populations as mixing sources. However, when removing outlying populations with extreme differentiation, neither metrics of differentiation nor heterozygosity were strongly correlated with modelled heterozygosity increase, indicating the value of simulation-based approaches when selecting source populations for population mixing.