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Dryad

TuMV infection in Hesperis matronalis across Kingston, Ontario

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Oct 09, 2025 version files 271.40 KB

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Abstract

Understanding the factors that influence pathogen prevalence is essential to mitigating the negative consequences of disease. Infection prevalence should be influenced by the abundance and distribution of the pathogen’s hosts, yet tests of this general expectation from natural populations are few. Furthermore, human activity is profoundly altering species distributions, which may have consequences for the pathogens that are associated with them. We investigated whether urbanization influences infection prevalence by, in part, affecting host population size and density in a study that surveyed the occurrence of turnip mosaic virus (TuMV) infection across 132 populations of the invasive mustard plant Hesperis matronalis in Ontario, Canada, along an urban-rural gradient. We scored TuMV infection by the appearance of overcolor breaking for a total of ∼38,000 plants across three generations. Overall, 39% of populations included at least one infected individual, and 10% of individuals were infected within these populations. As predicted, the probability of population infection increased with human activity, even after controlling for the positive effect of population size. Larger populations in areas of high human activity were also more likely to remain infected across generations. The effect of human activity on the infection frequency within populations was less consistent. Within populations, the probability of individuals being infected increased with local density of conspeci cs, yet mean density did not influence population infection or infection frequency within infected populations. Our results highlight how urbanization can influence the prevalence of infection due to an economically important plant virus.