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Dryad

Tree basal area growth data for fitting allometric equations to 20 species of NE North America

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Jun 17, 2025 version files 2.50 MB

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Abstract

A tree’s basal area and wood volume scale exponentially with tree diameter in species-specific patterns. Recent observed increases in tree growth suggest these allometric relationships are shifting in response to climate change, rising CO2 levels, and/or changes in forest management. We analyzed 9214 cores from nine conifer and 11 broadleaf species grown in managed mixed-species stands in the upper Midwest to quantify how well diameter (DBH) serves to predict basal area (BA) growth and above-ground wood and carbon (C). These samples include many large trees. We fit mixed models to predict BA growth and above-ground biomass/C from diameter, tree height, and the BA of nearby trees while controlling for site effects. Models account for 55-83% of the variance in (log) recent growth, improving predictions over earlier models. Growth-diameter scaling exponents covary with certain leaf and stem (but not wood) functional traits, reflecting growth strategies. Log BA increment scales linearly with log diameter as trees grow bigger in 16/20 species, and growth accelerates in Quercus rubra L. Three other species plateau in growth. Growth only decelerates in red pine, Pinus resinosa Ait. Growth in whole-tree, above-ground biomass, and C accelerates even more strongly with diameter (mean exponent: 2.08 vs. 1.30 for BA growth). Sustained BA growth and accelerating wood/C growth contradict the common assumption that tree growth declines in bigger trees. Yield tables and silvicultural guidelines should be updated to reflect these current relationships. Such revisions will favor delaying harvests in many managed stands to increase wood production and enhance ecosystem values, including C fixation and storage. Further research may resolve the relative roles of thinning, climatic conditions, nitrogen inputs, and rising CO2 levels on changing patterns of tree growth.