Armed conflict, and its end, can have powerful effects on natural resources, but the influence of war and peace on highly biodiverse tropical forests remains disputed. We found a sixfold increase in fires in protected areas across biodiversity hotspots following guerrilla demobilization in Colombia, and a 52% increase in the probability of per-pixel deforestation within parks for 2018. Peace requires urgent shifts to include real-time forest monitoring, expand programmes to pay for ecosystem services at the frontier, integrate demobilized armed groups as staff of protected areas, and establish a domestic market for frontier deforestation permits.
R code for Fires in Protected Areas Reveal Unforeseen Costs of Colombian Peace
fires.R
R script to compare models to forest loss
compare2LandSat.R
R code for Fires in Protected Areas Reveal Unforeseen Costs of Colombian Peace
parks.R
R Code to plot Figure in Fires in Protected Areas Reveal Unforeseen Costs of Colombian Peace
plot_figure.R
Data set
Fire densities per year inside, within 5-km buffer zone from the protected area limit and outside
time.csv
MODIS Active Fire Detections for January and February 2017
MODIS Collection 6 NRT Hotspot / Active Fire Detections MCD14DL for January and February 2017 for Colombia with information on the distance to the nearest protected area and location within FARC 2013 territory for each detected hotspot
fires_year_2017.zip
MODIS Active Fire Detections for January and February 2018
MODIS Collection 6 NRT Hotspot / Active Fire Detections MCD14DL for January and February 2018 for Colombia with information on the distance to the nearest protected area and location within FARC 2013 territory for each detected hotspot
fires_year_2018.zip
