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Dryad

The Cenozoic history of palms: Global diversification, biogeography, and the decline of megathermal forests

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Dec 30, 2021 version files 776.02 KB

Abstract

Aim: Megathermal rainforests and mangroves are much smaller in extent today than in the early Cenozoic, primarily due to global cooling and drying trends since the Eocene--Oligocene Transition (~ 34 Ma). The general reduction of these biomes is hypothesized to shape the diversity and biogeographic history of tropical plant clades. However, this has rarely been examined due to a paucity of good fossil records of tropical taxa and the difficulty in assigning them to modern clades. Here, we evaluate the role that Cenozoic climate change may have played in shaping the diversity and biogeography of tropical plants through time.

Location: Global. Time period: Cenozoic, 66 million years ago to present. Major taxa studied: Four palm clades (Calaminae, Eugeissoneae, Mauritiinae, and Nypoideae), and their fossil pollen record.

Methods: We compiled fossil pollen occurrence records for each focal palm lineage to reconstruct their diversity and biogeographic distribution throughout the Cenozoic. We use climatic niche models to project the distribution of climatically suitable areas for each lineage in the past, using paleoclimate data for the Cenozoic.

Results: For most palm lineages examined, global pollen taxonomic diversity declined throughout the Cenozoic. Geographic ranges for each focal lineage contracted globally and experienced regional-scale extinctions (e.g., Afrotropics), particularly after the Miocene. However, climatic niche models trained on extant species of these focal lineages often predict the presence of climatically suitable habitat in areas where these lineages went extinct.

Main conclusions: Globally, the decline in megathermal rainforest and mangrove extent may have led to diversity declines and range contractions in some megathermal plant taxa throughout the Cenozoic. However, while global climatic trends are an important backdrop for the biogeography and diversity of tropical groups at global scales, their continental or regional-scale biogeographic trajectories may be more dependent on regional abiotic and biotic contexts.