Net-zero 1.5 °C sectorial pathways for G20 countries: energy and emissions data to inform science-based decarbonization targets
Data files
Sep 01, 2023 version files 4.90 MB
Abstract
This data for global, regional (EU-27), and country-specific (G20 member countries) energy and emission pathways required to achieve a defined carbon budget of under 450 Gt/CO2, developed to limit the mean global temperature rise to 1.5°C, over 50% likelihood. The data were calculated with the 1.5°C sectorial pathways of the One Earth Climate Model—an integrated energy assessment model devised at the University of Technology Sydney (UTS).
The data consist of the following six zip-folder datasets (refer to Section 2 for an explanation of the data):
1. Appendix folder: Each file contains one worksheet, which summarizes the overall 1.5°C scenario.
2. Sector folder (XLSX): Each file contains one worksheet, which summarizes the industry sectors analysed.
3. Sector folder (CSV): The data contained are the same as those described in point 2.
4. Sector emissions folder: Each file contains one worksheet, which summarizes the total annual emissions for each industry sector.
5. Scope emissions folder (XLSX): Each file contains one worksheet, which summarizes the total annual emissions for each industry sector—with the additional specificity of emission scope.
6. Scope emissions folder (CSV): The data contained are the same as those described in point 5.
Methods
The data consist of the following six zipped dataset folders, each containing 21 separate files for each of the areas assessed.
1. Appendix zip folder: contains 21 XLSX files. Each file contains one worksheet, which summarizes the overall 1.5 °C scenario. This tab is called the ‘Appendix’ and contains: electricity generation (TWh/a), transport—final energy (PJ/a), heat supply and air conditioning (PJ/a), installed capacity (GW), final energy demand (PJ/a), energy-related CO2 emissions (million tons/a), and primary energy demand (PJ/a).
2. Sector zip folder (XLSX): contains 21 XLSX files. Each file contains one worksheet, which summarizes the industry sectors analysed. Key industry metrics are provided, such as the energy and carbon intensities of the GICS sectors analysed. Due to industry specificity—and the choice of methodology—the units of data vary between the different sectors.
3. Sector zip folder (CSV): contains 21 CSV files. The data contained are the same as those described in point 2. However, the data have been organized in a database layout and saved in the CSV file format, significantly improving data parsing.
4. Sector emission zip folder: contains 21 XLSX files. Each file contains one worksheet, which summarizes the total annual emissions (MtCO2/a) for each industry sector.
5. Scope emissions zip folder (XLSX): contains 21 XLSX files. Each file contains one worksheet, which summarizes the total annual emissions (MtCO2/a) for each industry sector—and specifies the emission scopes. This tab also provides an additional breakdown of emissions into the categories of CO2 and total GHG emissions. Two accounting methodologies are presented: (i) the OECM approach, which defines Scope 1 emissions as those related to heat and energy use; and (ii) the production-centric approach, which places the emission burden of other non-energy and Scope 3 emissions on the producer, because they are categorized as Scope 1 emissions.
6. Scope emissions zip folder (CSV): contains 21 CSV files. The data contained are the same as those described in point 5. However, the data have been organized in a database layout and saved in the CSV file format to improve data parsing.
The six datasets are summarized in Table 1, with further information on the data presented in the following sub-sections.
Table 1: Overview of the data files/datasets
Label |
Name of data file/dataset |
File types |
Data repository and identifier (DOI or accession number) |
Dataset 1 |
Appendix |
XLSX |
https://doi.org/10.5061/dryad.cz8w9gj82 |
Dataset 2 |
Sector_XLSX |
XLSX |
https://doi.org/10.5061/dryad.cz8w9gj82 |
Dataset 3 |
Sector_CSV |
CSV |
https://doi.org/10.5061/dryad.cz8w9gj82 |
Dataset 4 |
Sector_Emission |
XLSX |
https://doi.org/10.5061/dryad.cz8w9gj82 |
Dataset 5 |
Scope_Emission_XLSX |
XLSX |
https://doi.org/10.5061/dryad.cz8w9gj82 |
Dataset 6 |
Scope_Emission_CSV |
CSV |
https://doi.org/10.5061/dryad.cz8w9gj82 |
1.1. Description of data parameters
The datasets contain the following scenario input parameters:
1. Market development: current and assumed development of the demand by sector, such as cement produced, passenger kilometers travelled, or assumed market volume in US$2015 gross domestic product (GDP).
2. Energy intensity—activity based: energy use per unit of service and/or product; for example, in megajoules (MJ) per passenger kilometer travelled (MJ/pkm), MJ per ton of steel (MJ/ton steel), aluminum, or cement.
3. Energy intensity—finance based: energy use per unit of investment in MJ per US$ GDP (MJ/$GDP) contributed by, for example, the forestry or agricultural sector.
The dataset contains the following scenario output parameters:
4. Carbon intensity: current and future carbon intensities per unit of product or service; for example, in tons of CO2 per ton of steel produced (tCO2/ton steel) or grams of carbon dioxide per passenger kilometer (gCO2/pkm).
5. Scope 1, 2, and 3 emissions: datasets for each of the industry sectors and countries analysed. In addition to the emissions data, the deviations of the emissions from those of the year 2019 are provided.
6. Country scenarios: complete country scenario datasets of historical data (2012, 2015–2020) and future projections (2025–2050 in 5-year increments). Energy demand and supply data by technology, fuel, and sector are provided, including the overall energy and carbon emissions balance of the country analysed.
1.2. Geographic resolution: country data provided
The dataset contains data for the following 21 countries and regions:
· Regions: global, EU-27
· Countries: G20 member countries—Canada, USA, Mexico, Brazil, Argentina, Germany, France, Italy, United Kingdom, Türkiye, Russian Federation, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, Indonesia, India, China, Japan, South Korea, and Australia
1.3. Sectorial resolution: industry sector data provided
The dataset contains data for the following industry sectors:
Agriculture & food processing, forestry & wood products, chemical industry, aluminum industry, construction and buildings, water utilities, textile & leather industry, steel industry, cement industry, transport sector (aviation: freight & passenger transport; shipping: freight & passenger transport; and road transport: freight & passenger transport).
1.4. Time resolution
The scenario data are provided for the years 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2025, 2030, 2035, 2040, 2045, and 2050.