Food chain without giants: Modelling the trophic impact of bowhead whaling on little auk populations in the Atlantic Arctic
Data files
Jul 23, 2024 version files 29.74 MB
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coast.txt
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PCBM_Results_10000rep_2024-05-14.txt
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README.md
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sf_surfacewhaleauk_depth.cpg
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sf_surfacewhaleauk_depth.dbf
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sf_surfacewhaleauk_depth.prj
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sf_surfacewhaleauk_depth.shp
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sf_surfacewhaleauk_depth.shx
Abstract
In the Atlantic Arctic, bowhead whales (Balaena mysticetus) were nearly exterminated by European whalers between the 17th and 19th centuries. The collapse of the East Greenland-Svalbard-Barents Sea population, from an estimated 50,000 to a few hundred individuals, drastically reduced predation on mesozooplankton. Here, we tested the hypothesis that this event strongly favoured the demography of the little auk (Alle alle), a zooplanktivorous feeder competitor of bowhead whales, and the most abundant seabird in the Arctic. To reconstruct pre-whaling little auk abundance, we modelled trophic niche overlap between the two species using deterministic simulations of mesozooplankton spatial distribution. We estimated a 70% increase in Northeast Atlantic Arctic little auk populations following bowhead whaling, from 2.8 million to 4.8 million breeding pairs. While corresponding to a major population increase, this is far less than predicted by previous studies. Our study illustrates a trophic shift resulting from the near extirpation of a marine megafauna species, and the methodological framework we developed opens up new opportunities for marine trophic modelling.
README: Food chain without giants: Modelling the trophic impact of bowhead whaling on little auk populations in the Atlantic Arctic
https://doi.org/10.5061/dryad.h9w0vt4rb
You will find here the dataset related to the paper "Food chain without giants: Modelling the trophic impact of bowhead whaling on little auk populations in the Atlantic Arctic".
This dataset contains four main files :
- PCBM_Results_10000rep_2024-05-14.txt : The main output of the model
- sf_surfacewhaleauk_depth : The shapefile of the study area
- coast.txt : A latitude/longitude file to identify coast lines
- Food chain of giants_main script.R : Main script
Description of main output dataframe (PCBM_Results_10000rep_2024-05-14.txt)
This dataframe contains the modelling output of each of the 10,000 Monte-Carlo repetitions. Titles are in French, with the following translation for abbreviations :
- eff = number of individuals/breeding couple
- bal = bowhead whale
- mer = little auk
- act = 21st century (current)
- hist = 17th century (historical)
- biom = Mesozooplankton biomass (expressed in tonnes)
- taux/prop = ratio
- conso / nonconso = consumed/not consumed
- acces = accessible
- aire = foraging area
- chevauchement = overlap
- poids = weight of each foraging factor
- densite = density
Here is a brief summary of column structure :
- Column 6 contains the main result = abundance of pre-whaling little auk populations.
- Columns 9 to 26 contain parameter values resulting from random draws for each Monte-Carlo repetition
- Columns 27 to 50 contain the main outputs for biomass consumption for both period of time and for both species
- Columns 51 to 78 contain various indicators computed with model outputs
- Columns 79 to 87 contain mesozooplankton biomass distribution among the different foraging areas
- Columns 88 to 159 contain detailed estimations of mesozooplankton biomass distribution among the different stratum (0.20m; 20.50m; 50.200m) and the different seafloor depth (20; 50; 100; 200; 6,000)
Variables per column (Col) correspond to :
- Col 1: Number of EGSB adult bowhead whales in the 21st century
- Col 2: Number of EGSB adult bowhead whales in the 17th century
- Col 3: Number of adult little auks in the 21st century
- Col 4: Number of little auk breeding pairs in the 21st century
Col 5: Number of juvenile little auks in the 21st century
Col 6: Number of adult little auks in the 17th century
Col 7: Number of little auk breeding pairs in the 17th century
Col 8: Number of juvenile little auks in the 17th century
Col 9: Length of little auk breeding season (days)
Col 10: Mean mesozoopkankton biomass simulated per cubic meter of water in the whole bowhead whale foraging area in the strata 0-200m (g/m2)
Col 11: Ratio Production to Biomass as drawn by Monte-Carlo simulation
Col 12: Proportion of annual secondary production achieved during the study period (%)
Col 13: Proportion of copepods within mesozooplankton biomass (%)
Col 14-16: Proportion (%) of the total mesozooplankton biomass in the water column within each stratum
Col 17: Daily mesozooplankton food requirements by an adult bowhead whale, averaged over one year (t.ww.day-1 with ww=wet weight and t=tonne)
Col 18: Multiplication factor of bowhead whale food requirements during summer
Col 19: Critical mesozooplankton biomass density threshold for bowhead whale foraging (g.m-3)
Col 20: Daily mesozooplankton food requirements by an adult little auk (g.ww.day-1 with ww=wet weight)
Col 21: Mesozooplankton food requirements for a juvenile little auk between hatching and fledging (g.ww.)
Col 22: Critical mesozooplankton biomass density threshold for little auk foraging (g.m-3)
Col 23: Capture requirements of mesozooplankton individuals during subwater foraging by little auks (ind.s-1)
Col 24: Mean wet weight of mesozooplankton individuals captured by little auks (mg.ww.)
Col 25: Diving speed during foraging by little auks (m.s-1)
Col 26: Foraging area around the beak from which little auks fully extract mesozooplankton biomass (m²)
Col 27 and 28: Total mesozooplankton biomass consumed by EGSB bowhead whale population in the 17th and 21st centuries (tonnes)
Col 29, 30 and 31: Total mesozooplankton biomass accessible to EGSB bowhead whale population in the 17th and 21st centuries (tonnes)
Col 32: Total mesozooplankton biomass not accessible to EGSB bowhead whale population (tonnes)
Col 33 and 68: Total mesozooplankton biomass within the EGSB bowhead whale foraging area (tonnes)
Col 24 to 38: Share (%) of mesozooplankton biomass (accessible or total) eaten by bowhead whales in the 17th and 21st centuries
Col 39 and 40: Total mesozooplankton biomass consumed by the little auk population in the 17th and 21st centuries (tonnes)
Col 41 to 47: Total mesozooplankton biomass accessible to the little auk population in the 17th and 21st centuries and eaten by whales (consobal) or not eaten by whales (nonconsobal) (tonnes)
Col 48: Total mesozooplankton biomass not accessible to the little auk population (tonnes)
Col 49 and 50: Total mesozooplankton biomass within the little auk whale foraging area in the 17th and 21st centuries (tonnes)
Col 51 to 58: Share of accessible/total/within little auk foraging area that is consumed or accessible to little auks in the 17th and 21st centuries (%)
Col 59 to 62: Percentage of overlap by one species over the other's trophic niche (%) in the 17th and 21st centuries (tonnes)
Col 65 to 67: Weights (%) of the geography, depth and biomass threshold criteria in the difference in biomass accessibility between bowhead whales and little auks
Col 69: Mean mesozooplankton density in the study area (g.m-3)
Col 70: Percentage of water volume within study area that contains mesozooplankton patches (%)
Col 71 and 72: Total mesozooplankton biomass within patches (tonnes) and percentage relatively to total biomass (%)
Col 73 to 75: Total mesozooplankton biomass within each strata (0-20m, 20-50m, 50-200m) (tonnes)
Col 76 to 78: Mean density of mesozooplankton biomass within each strata (g.m-3)
Col 79 to 82: Mesozooplankton biomass accessible to EGSB bowhead whales in subsets of the foraging area (Kara sea, Barents sea, Greenland sea, Arctic bassin) (tonnes)
Col 83 to 87: Mesozooplankton biomass accessible to little auks in subsets of the foraging area (East Greenland, Svalbard, Novaya Zemlya, Jan Mayen, Franz Joseph) (tonnes)
Col 88 to 195 contain the detailed estimations of mesozooplankton biomass (tonnes) generated by the model with the following characteristics :
- species : 'bal' (bowhead whale) or 'mer' (little auk)
- centuries: 'hist' (17th century) or 'act' (21st century)
- status: 'conso' (consumed), 'acces' (accessible to), 'nonconso' (accessible and not consumed), 'nonacces' (not accessible to)
- ocean strata (0.20m; 20.50m; 50.200m)
- seafloor depth (20; 50; 100; 200; 6,000)
Description of shapefile (sf_surfacewhaleauk_depth)
This shapefile contains geographical information (CRS = ESRI:102016 - North Pole Aziumthal Equidistant) about the 22,225 cells of 400 km² (20 x 20km) covering the study area :
- Percentage (%) of the cell's surface within the four sea regions (Kara, Arctic, Barents, Greenland) and within the five little auk foraging areas (East Greenland, Svalbard, Novaya Zemlya, Jan Mayen, Franz Joseph) [NA equals to 0, meaning that the cell is completely outside of these areas]
- Mean seafloor depth (meters) from the General Bathymetric Chart of the Oceans [cells with NA are cells unreported in GEBCO and therefore excluded from the analysis]
Description of coast.txt
This dataset contains the geographical information (lon = longitude, lat = latitude) to draw the coast lines and plot the copepod biomass estimation data from Drago et al. (2022) (see link below).
Description of R script
The R script contains all the details necessary to follow the modelling steps described in the methods section of the article, aiming at estimating the pre-whaling little auk in the Atlantic Arctic.
It starts with the Monte-Carlo simulations and ends with the final dataframe (PCBM_Results_XXXXXrep_XXXX-XX-XX.txt). All required packages are listed. All data needed to run the script are to be downladed here and using the github link below.
Sharing/Access information
Simulations of the global distribution of copepod biomass from Drago et al., 2022 used as inputs in the model are available at https://github.com/dlaetitia/Global_zooplankton_biomass_distribution.git.
Code/Software
The model was created using R version 4.2.2