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Dryad

Genomic, clinical data, and scripts for PD-1 blockade resistance in metastatic melanoma

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Oct 25, 2024 version files 2.27 MB

Abstract

We analyzed whole-exome-sequencing (WES) of pre-treatment tumor and matched normals from four cohorts (n=140) of previously ICB-naïve aPD-1 ICB treated patients. We found high intratumoral genomic heterogeneity and low ploidy robustly identified patients with intrinsic resistance to aPD-1 ICB. Utilizing a melanoma cohort from a period prior to targeted- and ICB-therapy (“untreated” cohort), we found that genomic heterogeneity was predictive while ploidy was prognostic. To establish clinically actionable predictions, we optimized a predictive model using ploidy and heterogeneity to identify, with high confidence (90% PPV), a subset of patients with intrinsic resistance to and worse survival on aPD1 ICB. We validated this model with independent cohorts, and further showed that a significant proportion of patients predicted to have intrinsic resistance to single agent aPD-1 ICB responded to combination ICB, suggesting these patients may benefit disproportionately from combination ICB.