Temporal correlations among demographic parameters are ubiquitous but highly variable across species
Data files
Jun 13, 2023 version files 757.53 KB
-
Bighorn_sheep.RData
29.69 KB
-
BlackBrowedAlbatross.RData
48.79 KB
-
Blue_tit.RData
74.63 KB
-
Dipper.RData
38.10 KB
-
Fulmar.RData
60.94 KB
-
Great_tit.RData
138.32 KB
-
Ground_squirrel.RData
5.90 KB
-
Moutain_goat.RData
13.86 KB
-
Oystercatcher.RData
86.66 KB
-
README.md
1.96 KB
-
Roe_deer.RData
10.58 KB
-
SavannahSparrow.RData
14.50 KB
-
Snow_petrel.RData
145.17 KB
-
Weddell_seal.RData
88.43 KB
Abstract
Temporal correlations among demographic parameters can strongly influence population dynamics. Our empirical knowledge, however, is very limited regarding the direction and the magnitude of these correlations and how they vary among demographic parameters and species’ life-histories. Here, we use long-term demographic data from 15 bird and mammal species with contrasting pace of life to quantify correlation patterns among five key demographic parameters: juvenile and adult survival, reproductive probability, reproductive success and productivity. Correlations among demographic parameters were ubiquitous, more frequently positive than negative, but strongly differed across species. Correlations did not markedly change along the slow-fast continuum of life-histories, suggesting that they were more strongly driven by ecological than evolutionary factors. As positive temporal demographic correlations decrease the mean of the long-run population growth rate, the common practice of ignoring temporal correlations in population models could lead to the underestimation of extinction risks in most species.