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Data from: Moist heatwaves intensified by entrainment of dry air that limits deep convection

Data files

Jul 13, 2024 version files 3.97 GB
Jul 13, 2024 version files 3.97 GB
Jul 13, 2024 version files 3.97 GB

Abstract

Moist heatwaves in the tropics and subtropics pose substantial risks to society, yet the dynamics governing their intensity are not fully understood. The onset of deep convection arising from hot, moist near-surface air has been thought to limit the magnitude of moist heat waves. Here, we use reanalysis data, and output from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 and model entrainment perturbation experiments, to show that entrainment of unsaturated air in the lower-free troposphere (roughly 1--3 km above the surface) limits deep convection, thereby allowing much higher near-surface moist heat. Regions with large-scale subsidence and a dry lower-free troposphere, such as coastal areas adjacent to hot and arid land, are thus particularly susceptible to moist heat waves. Even in convective regions such as the northern Indian Plain, southeast Asia, and interior South America, the lower-free tropospheric dryness strongly affects the maximum surface wet-bulb temperature. As the climate warms, the dryness (relative to saturation) of the lower-free tropospheric air increases; this allows for a larger increase of extreme moist heat, further elevating the likelihood of moist heat waves.