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Dryad

Selected large model output files and Buffalo sounding data from: Lake Huron enhances snowfall downwind of Lake Erie: a modeling study of the 2010 near year’s Lake-effect snowfall event

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Dec 17, 2024 version files 33.17 GB

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Abstract

In the Northeast and Great Lakes regions of the United States, the influence of multiple lakes on overlying air can greatly affect lake-effect snowfall over downwind communities. To assess the impact of Lake Huron on snowfall downwind of Lake Erie, we simulated a lake-effect snow event which occurred from 1-6 January 2010 using the Regional Atmospheric Modeling System (RAMS). We found that the presence of Lake Huron enhances snowfall downwind of Lake Erie by almost 20\% and leads to much heavier local snowfall totals than when Lake Huron is not present. This increase in snowfall is due to a lake-to-lake (L2L) convective band, as secondary circulations associated with lake-effect convection form over Lake Huron and persist overland between the lakes before re-intensifying over Lake Erie. As these secondary circulations move over Lake Erie, low-level convergence from the secondary circulation induces mechanical lifting which accelerates the development of convection within the L2L band. Surface fluxes and convection over Lake Huron deepen the boundary layer, promoting deeper vertical development of this L2L band over Lake Erie. However, although this boundary layer modification strengthens the L2L band, we found that it actually reduced lake-effect snowfall produced by wind-parallel bands (WPB) in other parts of the lake. This indicates that boundary layer modification from upstream lakes may impact L2L bands differently than WPB which are not connected to upstream secondary circulations.