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A framework for mapping the distribution of seabirds by integrating tracking, demography and phenology

Citation

Carneiro, Ana P. B. et al. (2020), A framework for mapping the distribution of seabirds by integrating tracking, demography and phenology, Dryad, Dataset, https://doi.org/10.5061/dryad.z612jm685

Abstract

1. The identification of geographic areas where the densities of animals are highest across their annual cycles is a crucial step in conservation planning. In marine environments, however, it can be particularly difficult to map the distribution of species, and the methods used are usually biased towards adults, neglecting the distribution of other life-history stages even though they can represent a substantial proportion of the total population.

2. Here we develop a methodological framework for estimating population-level density distributions of seabirds, integrating tracking data across the main life-history stages (adult breeders and non-breeders, juveniles and immatures). We incorporate demographic information (adult and juvenile/immature survival, breeding frequency and success, age at first breeding) and phenological data (average timing of breeding and migration) to weight distribution maps according to the proportion of the population represented by each life-history stage.  

3. We demonstrate the utility of this framework by applying it to 22 species of albatrosses and petrels that are of conservation concern due to interactions with fisheries. Because juveniles, immatures and non-breeding adults account for 47–81% of all individuals of the populations analysed, ignoring the distributions of birds in these stages leads to biased estimates of overlap with threats, and may misdirect management and conservation efforts. Population-level distribution maps using only adult distributions underestimated exposure to longline fishing effort by 18–42%, compared with overlap scores based on data from all life-history stages.

4. Synthesis and applications. Our framework synthesises and improves on previous approaches to estimate seabird densities at sea, is applicable for data-poor situations, and provides a standard and repeatable method that can be easily updated as new tracking and demographic data become available. We provide scripts in the R language and a Shiny app to facilitate future applications of our approach. We recommend that where sufficient tracking data are available, this framework be used to assess overlap of seabirds with at-sea threats such as overharvesting, fisheries bycatch, shipping, offshore industry and pollutants. Based on such an analysis, conservation interventions could be directed towards areas where they have the greatest impact on populations.

Methods

Quarterly and annual population-level density distributions for 22 species of albatrosses and petrels (36 populations) breeding in the Southern Ocean based on tracking, phenology and demography data. The raster files have the number of individuals for each population in each 5 x 5 degree cell during a given season or year. The number of individuals represents the sum of all life-history stages. See Carneiro et al., (2020) for a detailed description of the methods.