Flexibility in the face of climate change? A rapid and dramatic shift toward later spring migration in Hudsonian godwits (Limosa haemastica)
Data files
Jun 09, 2025 version files 45.40 KB
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1PJ_late.csv
312 B
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2009-2012_Tags.csv
2.73 KB
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Data_Final.csv
5.10 KB
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Godwit_Arrival_Date_Data_1974-2010.csv
1.63 KB
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Godwit_Arrival_Date_Data_2011-2023.csv
609 B
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HUGO_FinalModels_Script_May.r
23.51 KB
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Multitrack_allyears.csv
5.16 KB
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Predicted_Beluga_Arrival_Dates_2011-2023.csv
203 B
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README.md
6.15 KB
Abstract
With rapid environmental change, shifts in migration timing are vitally important for maintaining population stability in migratory species and have been widely documented. However, little remains known about how migrants make these shifts and what factors influence the utilization of these strategies, limiting our ability to assess their vulnerability to climate change. Hudsonian godwits (Limosa haemastica) are an extreme long-distance migratory shorebird that (1) have previously shifted their population-level migration timing and (2) are sexually dimorphic. We combined over a decade of tracking data from one breeding population with a historical predictive model to assess on-going shifts in migration timing and investigate potential sex-specific migration strategies. We found that godwit departure and arrival timing shifted 6 days later from 2010-2023 with no differences in timing between the sexes. The population maintained an average migratory duration of 24 days and drove shifts in arrival timing entirely by changing their nonbreeding ground departure. Yet, we also found that godwits arrived later than predicted by the historical model, indicating this response may not be adaptive. These results emphasize the urgent need for a more holistic approach to assessing the vulnerability of migratory species and the adaptiveness of changes in migration timing.
Dataset DOI: 10.5061/dryad.12jm63z90
Description of the data and file structure
We deployed light-level geolocators on Hudsonian godwits breeding in Beluga, Alaska, USA, during two time periods, 2009-2012 and 2020-2023. We analyzed the resulting movement trajectories of those geolocators to assess whether there were changes in the nonbreeding ground departure and breeding ground arrival timing of individuals and the population over time.
Files and variables
File: 2009-2012_Tags.csv
Description: Migratory timing data from the first period of geolocator deployment
Variables
- Flag code: Individual Identifier
- Time period: Year deployed and year recovered
- Year: Actual year of migratory timing data
- USGS_Band: Individual Identifier
- Sex: Individual's sex based on plumage
- Multi year? Y/N: Did the geolocator contain multiple years of data
- Con file?: Individual identifier on wet/dry data file
- Bel_Arri: Breeding Ground Arrival Date
- Con_Bel_Arri: Breeding Ground Arrival Date derived from Wet/Dry Data
- Chi_Dept: Nonbreeding Ground Departure Date
- Con_Chi_Dept: Nonbreeding Ground Departure Date derived from Wet/Dry Data
File: Data_Final.csv
Description: Combined geolocator data across both time periods.
Variables
- Flag code: Individual Identifier
- Time period: Year deployed and year recovered
- Year: Actual year of migratory timing data
- USGS_Band: Individual Identifier
- Sex: Individual's sex based on plumage (M/F)
- Multi year? Y/N: Did the geolocator contain multiple years of data
- Con file?: Individual identifier on wet/dry data file
- Bel_Arri: Breeding Ground Arrival Date
- Con_Bel_Arri: Breeding Ground Arrival Date derived from Wet/Dry Data
- Chi_Dept: Nonbreeding Ground Departure Date
- Con_Chi_Dept: Nonbreeding Ground Departure Date derived from Wet/Dry Data
- Duration: Migratory Duration (Unit: Days)
- E/L: Early (2009-2012) or Late (2020-2023) period
File: Predicted_Beluga_Arrival_Dates_2011-2023.csv
Description: Predicted arrival dates for Hudsonian Godwits to Beluga, Alaska, USA, derived from a historical statistical model.
Variables
- Year: Year of prediction
- x: Predicted Arrival Date (Unit: Day of Year)
File: Multitrack_allyears.csv
Description: Migratory timing data for individuals tracked across multiple years
Variables
- Flag code: Individual Identifier
- Time period: Early (2009-2012) or Late (2020-2023)
- Year: Year During Which Data was Collected
- YrNum: Year of Study During Which the Data Was Collected (2010 = 1)
- Yrseq: Standardized Value for Year of Study
- MnYr: The Mean Standardized Year Value for an Individual
- YrDiff: Difference Between First and Last Year for Which an Individual Had Data
- USGS_Band: Individual Identifier
- Sex: Sex of Individual (M/F)
- Multi year? Y/N: Did the geolocator contain multiple years of data (Yes/No)
- Con file?: Name of Wet/Dry Data File
- Bel_Arri: Breeding Ground Arrival Date
- Con_Bel_Arri: Breeding Ground Arrival Date derived from Wet/Dry Data
- Chi_Dept: Nonbreeding Ground Departure Date
- Con_Chi_Dept: Nonbreeding Ground Departure Date derived from Wet/Dry Data
File: Godwit_Arrival_Date_Data_2011-2023.csv
Description: Values to be used to predict Hudsonian Godwit arrival dates to Beluga, Alaska, using the historical statistical model
Variables
- Year: Year of arrival at the breeding grounds
- Actual: Observed arrival date based on eBird data (Unit: day of year)
- Anc_Prev_May: Mean May Temperature from the Previous May in Anchorage, AK (Unit: Degrees Celsius)
- Anc_5yr: Average Mean May Temperature from Anchorage, AK across the previous 5 years (Unit: Degrees Celsius)
- Hou_Apr_Wind: Mean April Wind Speed in Houston, TX (Unit: km/hr)
- PMC_Precip: Total Precipitation from Puerto Montt, Chile (Unit: mm)
- Prev_Arrival: Breeding Ground Arrival Date from the Previous Year (Unit: Day of Year)
- SOI_Mar: Southern Oscillation Index Value from Australia (Unit: Unitless)
File: Godwit_Arrival_Date_Data_1974-2010.csv
Description: Data used to parameterize the historical statistical model
Variables
- Year: Year of Observation
- Julian_Date: Julian Date of Breeding Ground Arrival Date (Unit: Day of Year)
- Anc_Prev_May: Mean May Temperature from the Previous May in Anchorage, AK (Unit: Degrees Celsius)
- Anc_5yr: Average Mean May Temperature from Anchorage, AK across the previous 5 years (Unit: Degrees Celsius)
- Hou_Apr_Wind: Mean April Wind Speed in Houston, TX (Unit: km/hr)
- SOI_Mar: Southern Oscillation Index Value from Australia (Unit: Unitless)
- PMC_Precip: Total Precipitation from Puerto Montt, Chile (Unit: mm)
- Prev_Arrival: Breeding Ground Arrival Date from the Previous Year (Unit: Day of Year)
Note: There is an 'NA' (not available) in the column "Prev_Arrival" for 1974. This is because arrival date data began being collected in 1974 and, therefore, no previous arrival date data exists for before 1973.
File: HUGO_FinalModels_Script_Apr.r
Description: Migratory timing data for a single individual Hudsonian Godwit that was tracked with a geolocator across the entire study period (2009-2023)
File: 1PJ_late.csv
Description:
Variables
- Flag code: Individual Identifier
- Time period: Early (2009-2012) or Late (2020-2023)
- Year: Year of Observation
- USGS_Band: Individual Identifier
- Sex: Individual's Sex based on Plumage (M/F)
- Multi year? Y/N: Did the geolocator contain multiple years of data
- Con file?: Name of Wet/Dry Data File
- Bel_Arri: Breeding Ground Arrival Date
- Con_Bel_Arri: Breeding Ground Arrival Date derived from Wet/Dry Data
- Chi_Dept: Nonbreeding Ground Departure Date
- Con_Chi_Dept: Nonbreeding Ground Departure Date derived from Wet/Dry Data
Code/software
All codes for our analyses are included in the file "HUGO_FinalModels_Script_May.r"
