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Dryad

Betula ermanii Cham. provenance trial in Japan: Survival, height, diameter, and productivity data

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Apr 22, 2024 version files 265.63 KB
Nov 11, 2025 version files 252.14 KB
Nov 11, 2025 version files 252.14 KB

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Abstract

Understanding the response of Betula ermanii Cham. to climate change is crucial for conservation efforts. Provenance trials provide valuable insights into local adaptation and phenotypic plasticity, aiding in the maintenance of performance in boreal and alpine forest ecosystems. This study aimed to evaluate the impact of climate change on the performance of B. ermanii, and to formulate conservation strategies for future climates. Using survival and growth data from provenance trials, a performance model was developed and applied to projected climate scenarios obtained from WorldClim. Results indicated that the performance of all provenances declines under warming. Particularly, the southern-edge Kinki provenance struggled to survive both in situ and *ex situ *under climate warming. These findings emphasize the necessity of integrating both in situ and ex situ conservation measures tailored to seed source provenances. Provenance trial data provide valuable insights into how climatic responses affect provenances, guiding conservation efforts for B. ermanii in the face of changing environmental conditions.