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Interactions between maternal provisioning and natural selection on seed mass fluctuate across heat waves

Data files

Apr 24, 2026 version files 36.87 KB

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Abstract

This repository contains two datasets from Gaspard et al. 2026.  FileA corresponds to seed and germination properties collected from crosses in a resurrection experiment, while FileB corresponds to seed and germination properties from a growth chamber experiment manipulating drought stress to simulate natural heat waves. Below is the abstract from the corresponding manuscript.

Premise of study: Changing climates are leading to more frequent and severe heatwaves, potentially threatening plant populations. Both acclimation to stress and selection for heat-resistant phenotypes occur during heatwaves. However, plastic responses and selection do not necessarily interact cohesively – even producing responses in opposite directions, a phenomenon termed counter gradient variation – that could cause maladaptation in future generations.  

Methods: Here we examine patterns of maternal provisioning and natural selection on seed mass and germination characteristics following two natural heatwaves across twelve annual Mimulus guttatus populations. We then recreate heatwave events occurring early and late within a growing season using a manipulative experiment to determine the reproducibility of our results.  

Key Results: There was selection for greater seed mass during the year of the early season heat wave and seed mass remained high through the late-season heatwave. However, field observations of seed mass only reflect this pattern during the early season heatwave, and plants that experienced a late season heatwave had small seeds that germinated later. This incongruency is indicative of counter gradient variation with decreased maternal provisioning coinciding with selection for larger seeds.  

Conclusions: Our results demonstrate that the relationship between selection and maternal provisioning fluctuates between years. Such counter gradient variation may be adaptive if smaller seeds are more likely to persist in the seed bank or if climatic conditions exhibit negative temporal autocorrelation. However, counter gradient variation could also constrain the potential of natural selection and lead to high mortality in heatwaves during successive years.​