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Data for: DETERIO-LLM: Enhancing traditional deterioration risk scores with clinical context and advanced reasoning

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Jul 29, 2026 version files 20.03 KB

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Abstract

Introduction: Accurate and timely prediction of physiological deterioration in hospitalized patients is essential for improving clinical outcomes. While traditional deep learning models have improved performance over existing early warning systems, their reliance on structured Electronic Health Record (EHR) data often limits their capacity to capture nuanced contextual information in unstructured clinical notes, leading to high false positive rates and limited clinical utility.

Objectives: We present DETERIO-LLM, a hybrid deterioration prediction model designed to selectively integrate Large Language Models (LLMs) with a pre-existing deep learning model (DETERIO) to reclassify borderline-risk alerts using narrative clinical notes.

Methods: We used a retrospective cohort of 1,000 inpatients with a 4.6% deterioration prevalence. DETERIO-LLM selectively applied LLM analysis to narrative notes only for alerts falling within an uncertainty risk range. Model performance was evaluated using Sensitivity, Positive Predictive Value (PPV), and F1 score and benchmarked against several comparators, including the best-established ML model, eCART.

Results: DETERIO-LLM significantly improved predictive precision over all comparators. At its optimal threshold (score 3.0), the model achieved a PPV of 30.6% and an F1 score of 37.3%, exceeding the performance of eCART. Overall, this selective integration reduced false positive alerts by 46.5% within the designated uncertainty range while maintaining comparable sensitivity.

Conclusion: These findings demonstrate that selective LLM integration with structured EHR models offers a practical and interpretable path to improving early warning systems in clinical care by leveraging narrative context to reduce alert fatigue.