Data from: The impacts of climate and the extreme drought in 2018 on population growth in Swedish moth species
Data files
Feb 18, 2025 version files 23.87 KB
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r_script_moths_drought_241120_tot_final_2.zip
22.18 KB
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README.md
1.68 KB
Abstract
Insects are pivotal to ecosystem diversity and functionality, yet they face increasing threats from anthropogenic climate change impacts. A growing body of studies reports the effects of changing temperature and precipitation patterns, but relatively few studies focus on the consequences for insect populations of extreme weather events. Here, we examine population growth responses to temperature, precipitation, and the extreme summer drought in Sweden in 2018. For this purpose, we used longitudinal data for 54 moth species collected between 2005 and 2023 using light traps at three sites in southeastern Sweden. We found a positive relationship between temperature and population growth rates across all study sites, while precipitation showed a positive relationship at two sites and no effect at the third. The results indicated a negative time-lag effect on population growth of precipitation the previous year at two of the sites, while there were no significant effects of temperature the previous year. Despite the extreme drought in 2018, moth populations remained resilient, with no dramatic decline in population growth between 2018 and 2019. Our results contrast earlier studies reporting severe declines in population growth in response to extreme drought events. The discrepancy may reflect that selected species in this study predominantly consist of range-expanding and migratory species, better able to withstand adverse conditions due to a higher climatic tolerance and being habitat and food plant generalists. Our findings underscore the importance of an increased knowledge of site-specific responses and effects of extreme weather events such as droughts when outlining conservation efforts.
Authors*: Per-Eric Betzholtz*, Anders Forsman & Markus Franzén
Contact: Per-Eric Betzholtz
Dataset description
- Primary data file: Moths_Raw_Data.csv
- Period: 2005–2023
- Geographic location: Southeast Sweden
- Study sites:
- Utlangan
- Nedre aleback
- Ossby
- Key event: 2018 drought year
Data files and variables
Moths_Raw_Data.csv
1. Year: Sampling year (2005–2023)
2. Site: Light-trap location name
3. Species_name_2017: Moth species identification
4. Ln_Ratio: Population growth rate (natural log of Nt+1/Nt)
5. Precipitation: May–August precipitation sum (mm)
6. Temperature: Average temperature (°C)
7. Precipitation_t1: Previous year May–August precipitation
8. Temperature_t1: Previous year temperature
9. Individuals: Number of individuals in previous year
Code file description
r_script_moths_drought_241120_tot_final.R: This script contains the complete R code used to process and analyse the moth dataset. It generates publication-quality figures and tables (Figures 1b, 2, 3, S1, and S2) and performs statistical analyses using linear mixed models to assess the impacts of climate variables and the 2018 drought on moth population growth. The script is modularly structured into sections for data setup, visualisation, statistical modelling, and reproducibility (session information). It utilises key packages including ggplot2, dplyr, lme4, and gridExtra.
Version information
- Version: 1.1
- Last updated: February 17, 2025
Statistical Analyses
Main Analysis:
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Linear mixed models (LMM)
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Random effects for species and year
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Response variable: Population growth rate
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Predictors: Climate variables, population size, year
Year Effects Analysis:
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Reference years: 2018 (drought) and 2019 (post-drought)
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Random effects for site and species
Data Collection Methods
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Light trap sampling at three sites
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Daily temperature measurements
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May-August precipitation totals
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Annual species abundance counts
