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Data and code from:Global diversity estimates need to acknowledge species–area relationships

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Sep 09, 2026 version files 418.11 KB

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Abstract

This submission is related to the paper  "Global diversity estimates need to acknowledge species–area relationships" published in Global Ecology ad Biogeography. 
This submission contains all codes and raw data needed to reproduce the figures for that paper.

Background

Many studies have tried to estimate the number of undescribed species based on the known diversity. These estimates often rely on extrapolation based on data from a limited number of species. Although statistical methods provide accurate inference when generalizing from a random sample, their predictions will be biased when based on a non-random sample unless the sampling process is explicitly accounted for.

Problem

In this paper, we argue that this is a fundamental issue in many estimates of unrecorded biodiversity. We show that the sample of species used in biodiversity extrapolation represents disproportionately common and abundant taxa, which leads to an overestimation of extrapolated diversity. We discuss this issue in the context of three specific cases: estimates of plant-associated insect diversity, estimates of parasite diversity and estimates of cryptic species diversity.

Implications

For the example of plant-associated insects, we provide an estimate of the magnitude of the error, but insufficient data are currently available to estimate the magnitude of the problem for the other examples. Our findings cast doubt over previous attempts to estimate the number of undescribed species, suggesting that they provide consistent overestimations.