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Dryad

Switchgrass and Miscanthus long-term yield across Michigan and Wisconsin

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Oct 17, 2025 version files 158.72 KB

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Abstract

Perennial grasses like switchgrass (Panicum virgatum) and miscanthus (Miscanthus × giganteus) are expected to supply a substantial amount of the United States bioeconomy’s feedstock demand. However, uncertainties around patterns of long-term yields challenge the viability of this potential. To resolve long-term yield patterns, we analyzed over 200 plantings of switchgrass and miscanthus across Michigan and Wisconsin USA measured over 5 to 15 years. During a yield-building phase, peak yields occurred within 4 – 5 years after planting, followed by a 6 – 7 year yield-decline phase in which switchgrass and miscanthus lost 30 – 47% and 14 – 40% of peak yields, respectively. Added nitrogen increased peak-yields by 10 – 20% and attenuated the yield decline by 20 – 50%. A farm-to-gate economic analysis suggests replanting switchgrass and miscanthus 5 and 9 years following their peak yields optimize profit over a 30-year time horizon. This conserved long-term yield pattern has implications for crop management, breeding programs, policy, and global bioenergy with carbon capture and storage modelling.