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Dryad

Data for: Dual-use research under scrutiny

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Jun 04, 2026 version files 60.52 MB

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Abstract

Recent U.S. policies strengthening oversight of dual-use research (DUR) raise questions about their implications for both scientific advancement and national security. Analyzing 600,000 research articles published between 1981 and 2005, we document the prevalence of DUR and its significant scientific importance. The data reveal that an increasing proportion of DUR emerges without U.S. federal government involvement, thus constraining national authorities’ capacity to apply ex-ante oversight mechanisms due to jurisdictional and territorial limitations. These results indicate that enhanced U.S. security oversight may entail costs to cumulative scientific progress by delaying diffusion of scientifically important discoveries, while offering diminishing institutional utility given the evolving, globally distributed DUR landscape. This could in turn compel U.S. security authorities to rely increasingly on costlier ex-post oversight measures.