Associated model data for: Size-selective predation effects on juvenile Chinook salmon cohort survival off Central California evaluated with an individual-based model
Data files
Sep 18, 2023 version files 3.75 GB
-
README.md
1.85 KB
-
SalmonIBM_CenCal_1990-2010.nc.nc
3.75 GB
Abstract
This dataset corresponds to the paper "Size-selective predation effects on juvenile Chinook salmon cohort survival off Central California evaluated with an individual-based model" which is in press at Fisheries Oceanography. The abstract for this paper is as follows:
Variation in the recruitment of salmon is often found to be correlated with marine climate indices, but mechanisms behind environment-recruitment relationships remain unclear and correlations often break down over time. We used an ecosystem modeling approach to explore bottom-up and top-down mechanisms linking a variable environment to salmon recruitment variations. Our ecosystem model incorporates a regional ocean circulation sub-model for hydrodynamics, a nutrient-phytoplankton-zooplankton sub-model for producing planktonic prey fields, and an individual-based model (IBM) representing juvenile Chinook salmon (Oncorhynchus tshawytscha), combined with observations of foraging distributions and diet of a seabird predator. The salmon IBM consists of modules, including a juvenile salmon growth module based on temperature and salmon-prey availability, a behavior-based movement module, and a juvenile salmon predation mortality module based on juvenile salmon size distribution and predator-prey interaction probability. Seabird-salmon interactions depend on spatial overlap and juvenile salmon size, whereby salmon that grow past the size range of the prey distribution of the predator will escape predation. We used a 21-year historical simulation to explore interannual variability in juvenile Chinook salmon growth and predation-mediated survival under a range of ocean conditions for sized-based mortality scenarios. We based a series of increasingly complex predation scenarios on seabird observational data to explore variability in predation mortality on juvenile Chinook salmon. We initially included information about the predator spatial distribution, then added population size, and finally, the predator's diet percentage made up of juvenile salmon. Model agreement improves with added predator complexity, especially during periods when predator abundance is high. Overall, our model found that when the fraction of juvenile salmon in seabird diet increased relative to alternate prey (e.g., Northern anchovy Engraulis mordax, and juvenile rockfish Sebastes spp.), there was a concomitant decrease in salmon cohort survival during their first year at sea.
https://doi.org/10.5061/dryad.8sf7m0cvs
Give a brief summary of dataset contents, contextualized in experimental procedures and results.
Description of the data and file structure
This data product is an NC file that contains predation, growth, and survival outputs from an Individual Based Model for Juvenile Chinook Salmon.
This file has 3 dimensions:
- year = 21; year from 1990 to 2010
- ocean_time = 366; day of the year
- drifter = 6100; Number of superindividuals
This file has 5 variables for each of 4 predation scenarios:
- lat = latitude of fish trajectories
- lon = longitude of fish trajectories
- Fworth = fish worth
- Flength = fish length
- FmortP = predation mortality
The four scenarios are as follows (Table 1 in the article) :
- size-dependent mortality only
- size-dependent mortality and spatially-varying predator distribution
- size-dependent mortality, spatially-varying predator distribution, and temporally-varying predator abundance
- size-dependent mortality, spatially-varying predator distribution, temporally-varying predator abundance, and salmon fraction in predator's diet
Sharing/Access information
This repository will serve as the main access point for this data product.
Code/Software
Please refer to the Fisheries Oceanography article Size-selective predation effects on juvenile Chinook salmon cohort survival off Central California evaluated with an individual-based model for the equations used to calculate predation and for a list of sources for parameterizations of the hydrodynamics and lower trophic level coupled models. IBM compilation occurs in Fortran.
This dataset is the output of an Individual Based Model (IBM) for juvenile Chinook salmon along the central California coast. This dataset corresponds to the paper "Size-selective predation effects on juvenile Chinook salmon cohort survival off Central California evaluated with an individual-based model" which is in press at Fisheries Oceanography. In order to present a data product that is most useful to readers, we have collated the length, worth, location, and predation mortality for each superindividual in the model at every time step. Please refer to the associated publication for information on the set-up of each predation scenario.