Predicted the effects of climate change on future distributions of ectomycorrhizal fungi
Data files
May 05, 2026 version files 144.80 MB
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2050_SSP126_Bioclim.zip
20.49 MB
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2050_SSP370_Bioclim.zip
20.43 MB
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2050_SSP585_Bioclim.zip
20.49 MB
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2080_SSP126_Bioclim.zip
20.50 MB
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2080_SSP370_Bioclim.zip
20.56 MB
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2080_SSP585_Bioclim.zip
20.54 MB
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Current_Bioclim.zip
18.40 MB
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Fungal_traits.csv
2.13 KB
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nitrogen.tif
1.50 MB
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ocs.tif
1.02 MB
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ph.tif
799.79 KB
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README.md
6.31 KB
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SDM_of_ECM_fungi.zip
39.80 KB
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SDM_of_hosts.zip
6.66 KB
Abstract
Ectomycorrhizal (ECM) fungi form the dominant mycorrhizal type in European forests and vary in their specificity to tree hosts. Studying the distributions of ECM fungi can help understand and manage their response to environmental change. However, fungal geographical distributions at continental scales are poorly understood and whether they vary with host specificity is rarely known. In this study, we investigated the influence of climate change and host specificity on the geographical distributions of 66 ECM fungi across Europe. We modelled the ECM fungal distributions using ensemble models based on four algorithms. Our models predicted that the distributions of most ECM fungal species will decrease and shift north under climate change predictions from three different shared socioeconomic pathways (SSP126, SSP370 and SSP585) projected for 2041-2070 and 2071-2100, and a large number of ECM fungal conifer specialists will lose their current habitats compared to broadleaf specialists and generalists. These results reflect that distribution modelling for ECM fungi should consider both host trees and global change to guide conservation.
Species data and Environmental variables
We have submitted table of studied ectomycorrhizal (ECM) fungi including their scientific names and host specificity (Fungal_traits.csv), environmental variables in ECM fungal and host trees distribution modelling (nitrogen.tif, ocs.tif, ph.tif, Current_Bioclim.zip, 2050_SSP126_Bioclim.zip, 2050_SSP370_Bioclim.zip, 2050_SSP585_Bioclim.zip, 2080_SSP126_Bioclim.zip, 2080_SSP370_Bioclim.zip, 2080_SSP585_Bioclim.zip), and R scripts (SDM_of_ECM_fungi.zip and SDM_of_hosts.zip).
Descriptions:
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ECM fungal data
ECM fungal data includes fruitbody and root occurrence data.
Fruitbody data (including human observations and preserved specimens) were obtained from the Global Biodiversity Information Facility (GBIF) and PlutoF API by using provided species names. GBIF occurrence data were accessed using the rgbif R package. These data were filtered and cleaned by following the recommendations of Zizka et al. (2019, 2020). PlutoF (https://plutof.ut.ee/) is a biodiversity data platform providing curated fungal occurrence records. Data from PlutoF API were cleaned by removing records without coordinate information, collected before 1971 or collected outside Europe.
Root data were obtained from van der Linde et al., 2018, based on samples collected from 136 plots within ICP Forests.
Fungal_traits.csv:
- Column 1: Species - Scientific name of ECM fungal species (as used in GBIF/PlutoF).
- Column 2: Host_specificity - Host association category of each fungal species. Categories include: 1) 'broadleaved', means ECM fungi only associated with broadleaved trees; 2) 'coniferous', means ECM fungi only associated with coniferous trees; and 3) 'generalist' means ECM fungi associated with both broadleaved and coniferous trees.
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Host trees data
Five host tree species were used in this study: Fagus sylvatica, Picea abies, Pinus sylvestris, Quercus petraea, and Quercus robur.
Occurrence data for these species were downloaded GBIF using the species names listed above. Data were filtered by retaining records from 1971 onwards, excluding records without geographic coordinates, and restricting records to Europe. The same data cleaning procedures as described for the ECM fungal GBIF data were then applied.
Note: The host tree occurrences data are not included in this Dryad dataset due to licensing restrictions associated with GBIF data. Users can reproduce this part of the analysis by downloading the data directly from GBIF using the species names and filtering steps described above.
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Abiotic environmental variables in ECM fungal and host trees distribution modelling
All .tif files represent raster layers used as environmental predictors in species distribution models (SDMs). Each pixel contains the value of the corresponding environmental variable.
These raster datasets can be opened and explored using open-source GIS software such as QGIS. They can also be imported and processed in R (e.g., with the raster or terra packages).
Spatial properties:
Projection: WGS84 (EPSG:4326)
Resolution: 2.5 arc-minutes (~5 km)
Extent: Western Europe (W-11, E41, S35, N72)
Soil variables:
- nitrogen.tif: Soil total nitrogen (g/kg) at 5–15 cm depth (original resolution: 250 m in SoilGrids, resampled to 2.5 arc-minutes).
- ocs.tif: Soil organic carbon stock (kg/m²). Data were downloaded from an earlier version of SoilGrids where a 5–15 cm depth layer was available. This dataset was retained to ensure consistency with other soil variables used in the analysis.
- ph.tif: Soil pH (H₂O) at 5–15 cm depth (original resolution: 250 m in SoilGrids, resampled to 2.5 arc-minutes).
Climate variables (CHELSA Bioclim v2.1):
Current and future bioclimatic variables were obtained from the CHELSA dataset (version 2.1) and resampled to the same spatial properties of soil variables.
Current_Bioclim.zip:
- bio1.tif: Mean Annual Near-Surface Air Temperature (℃).
- bio2.tif: Mean diurnal temperature range computed as the average of monthly (tasmax - tasmin) (℃).
- bio3.tif: Isothermality (℃): .
- bio4.tif: Temperature seasonality given by the standard deviation of mean monthly temperatures (℃/100).
- bio8.tif: Average monthly mean temperature over the wettest 3-month period of the year (℃).
- bio12.tif: Annual Precipitation (kg m-2 month-1), downloaded from CHELSA-bioclim (Version 2.1).
- bio15.tif: Coefficient of variation (100 × SD ÷ mean) of monthly precipitation totals (kg m-2).
- bio18.tif: Average monthly precipitation during the warmest 3-month period of the year (kg m-2 month-1).
- bio19.tif: Average monthly precipitation during the coldest 3-month period of the year (kg m-2 month-1).
Future climate datasets:
Future projections were derived from the GFDL-ESM4 climate model for two periods:
- 2041–2070
- 2071–2100
Under three shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs):
- SSP126: sustainability (low challenges to mitigation and adaptation)
- SSP370: regional rivalry (high challenges)
- SSP585: fossil-fuelled development (high emissions scenario)
Each future dataset includes the same variables as Current_Bioclim.zip.
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R scripts
SDM_of_ECM_fungi.zip:
Contains R scripts for modelling the current (baseline) and future distributions of ECM fungi under different host association scenarios (single host, two hosts, and generalists). Future projections include three shared socioeconomic pathways (SSP126, SSP370, SSP585) for two time periods (2041–2070 and 2071–2100).
SDM_of_hosts.zip:
- Baseline_of_hosts.R: current distribution modelling of host tree species.
- Future_of_hosts.R: future projections (2041–2070 and 2071–2100 under SSP126, SSP370, SSP585).
Software and packages:
All analyses were conducted in R (version 4.3.3). RStudio is recommended for running the scripts.
The CoordinateCleaner R package was used for GBIF data cleaning.
The biomod2 R package was used to model the current and future distributions of ECM fungi and host tree species.
Additional R packages used in this study are documented within the provided R scripts.
We combined the fruitbody and root data of 66 common ectomycorrhizal (ECM) fungal species to model their future distributions in Europe. The fruitbody data were extracted from public databases (GBIF, UNITE) while the root data (from individual ectomycorrhizas) were obtained from a ectomycorrhizas dataset of 136 ICP Forests long-term monitoring plots. The 66 species were classified into three groups based on their host specificity: broadleaf specialists (19), conifer specialists (25) and host generalists (22). We applied an ensemble model to project the future distributions of 66 common ECM fungal species in European forests under three different shared socioeconomic pathways (SSP126, SSP370 and SSP585) for 2041-2070 and 2071-2100. Both biotic and abiotic environmental variables were included in the modelling process. We calculated the projected future distribution areas and centroids, and compared the future distribution to the current distribution (distribution area and centroids) for each species under different climate scenarios based on ECM fungal host specificity.
