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Dryad

Growth rate overrides the benefit of extended growing season from boreal to semi-arid conifers

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Sep 10, 2026 version files 3.29 MB

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Abstract

Climate warming lengthens the productive season in extra-tropical forests. Yet, there is inconclusive evidence whether this in turn elicits enhanced tree growth and forest carbon sequestration. Here we use cellular observations of conifer wood formation spanning boreal to semi-arid forests to quantify the relative importance of cambial growth rate vs season length in driving annual cell production, the key process underlying woody growth. We find that rate is the primary driver of annual cell production. Furthermore, whereas the growing season lengthens with annual temperature, growth rate exhibited an optimum at ~6 °C, beyond which increasingly dry conditions compromise wood production gains. The negative impact of warming on intra-annual growth dynamics can thus largely offset the benefits of longer growing season on future forest carbon storage.