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Dryad

Predicting the breeding distribution of wader species across climatic and environmental gradients

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Jul 25, 2025 version files 27.76 MB

Abstract

Developing and applying species distribution models is particularly urgent for species currently facing high levels of environmental change. Waders (Charadrii) are among the most species rich groups of birds breeding at higher latitudes and the one where species are declining fastest. Iceland holds a large part of the global population of several wader species breeding sympatrically across unusual climate and environmental gradients. This provides an opportunity to assess synergy in habitat selection and occurrence of species usually occupying wide latitudinal ranges from temperate to arctic. In addition, the Icelandic wader habitats are facing significant and increasing pressures from anthropogenic sources putting in risk these populations. We built distribution models for several waders with the aim of identifying synergies in occurrence which allows better prioritisation of conservation efforts.