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Does local government tax competition promote industrial transformation and upgrading

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Nov 21, 2025 version files 404.37 KB

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Abstract

Promoting industrial transformation and upgrading is the vital and main driving force for realizing high-quality economic development. The paper related to this dataset systematically interprets the theoretical mechanism of local government tax competition and industrial transformation and upgrading from the theoretical level, based on which, through the fixed effect model, we test the impact of local government tax competition on industrial transformation and upgrading, the transmission mechanism, and the moderating effect played by technological innovation. The study finds that: (1) There exists an inverted “U-shaped” relationship between local government tax competition and industrial transformation and upgrading, which is driven by incentives and then constrained by competition and is tested by a series of robustness tests; (2) Heterogeneity analysis shows that the inverted “U-shaped” relationship between local government tax competition and industrial transformation and upgrading is more evident in cities with no economic growth targets, cities in the eastern region, economically developed cities, and cities with weak tax officials; (3) Mechanism test shows that local government tax competition mainly contributes to industrial transformation and upgrading by adjusting the tax structure, reducing the inequality of income distribution and strengthening the level of industrial agglomeration; (4) Technological innovation positively moderates the inverted “U-shaped” relationship between local government tax competition and industrial transformation and upgrading, and makes the inverted “U” curve steeper and the inverted “U-shaped” relationship more pronounced. The study helps to identify the impact of local government tax competition on industrial transformation and upgrading. The study helps to identify the specific effect of local government tax competition on industrial transformation and upgrading. It can provide theoretical support and decision-making reference for optimizing local tax policies and promoting high-quality economic development.