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Data from: Winners and losers in subarctic moth communities in a changing climate: Marine Regime shifts as predictors for terrestrial insect biomass

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May 05, 2026 version files 544.40 KB

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Abstract

Understanding the role of climate change in the globally reported declines of insect populations is difficult due to complex interactions between climate and other drivers such as agricultural practices and changes in land use practice. We focused on subarctic moth communities in northernmost Finland, a region with significant climatic changes and minimal human impact. We use moth species abundance data from 45 years of light-trap monitoring at the Kevo Subarctic Research Institute. TRIM analyses showed a positive trend in total moth biomass between 1972 and 2017. However, excluding the autumnal moth (Epirrita autumnata), the increase in biomass was not significant. There were large differences in biomass trends between different groups based on life-history traits. Species overwintering as eggs, feeding as larvae on both herbaceous and woody plants, and generalists feeding on at least three plant genera had significant positive population trends. Moths overwintering as larvae, species feeding only on herbaceous plants, and specialists feeding on only one plant genus had negative trends. Nine groups had no significant trends. Linear mixed models revealed significant correlations between Regime shifts in the Baltic Sea and biomass in five moth groups. Temperature and degree day variables were also important. A negative relation between a positive spring NAO and moth biomass was implied. Our results suggest that large-scale oceanic climate patterns, such as Regime Shifts and the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), can be useful proxies for predicting the effects of complex climatic phenomena on terrestrial ecosystems.