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Dryad

Data and code from: Increased demographic turnover and isolation precede social fragmentation in Asian elephants

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Sep 23, 2026 version files 1.44 MB

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Abstract

Humans and other animals live in highly interconnected social communities that are essential for survival and well-being. In principle, social communities can persist despite changes to their constituent members. However, gradually accumulating changes could push systems into alternate states when passing critical thresholds, called tipping points. The robustness of social systems to such changes has rarely been quantified in non-human species. We investigated the stability of social networks for wild female Asian elephants in Udawalawe National Park, Sri Lanka over a 12-year period by tracking community membership and structure across 443 individuals. Following accumulated demographic turnover, higher-level network structure fractured into smaller and more isolated social communities. Connections were not only changed due to the gain or loss of individuals, but also rewired among remaining individuals. This provides the first empirical evidence for a social state change in a long-lived mammal following a tipping point, transitioning towards a less cohesive social structure that may be less resilient to future disturbances.