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Dryad

Thirty-three years of glacier grounding line retreat in Antarctica 1992-2025

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Sep 24, 2025 version files 54.13 MB
Dec 12, 2025 version files 55.16 MB
Jan 30, 2026 version files 55.15 MB

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Abstract

The Grounding Line (GL) - the transition from ice grounded on the continent and ice afloat in the ocean - is a sensitive indicator of glacier stability and mass balance. Using differential SAR interferometry from ERS-1/2, Sentinel-1, RADARSAT-1/2, RCM, ALOS PALSAR-2, COSMO-SkyMed, and ICEYE, we assemble a continental scale record of grounding line migration from 1992 to 2025. Over 77±10% of Antarctic coastal length, we detect no GL migration. Stable areas include the vast Ross, Filchner-Ronne, Amery and West ice shelves, and broad sectors of Coats, Queen Maud, Enderby, and Princess Elizabeth Lands. Retreat is concentrated in (i) the Antarctic Peninsula - 2-18 km along Larsen A-B and 2-6 km along parts of GeorgeVI, and no change on Larsen C-D ice shelves; (ii) Wilkes and GeorgeV lands - 6-10 km on Denman, Totten, Moscow, Frost, Holmes, Mertz, Ninnis, and Cook, and 26 km on Vanderford; and (iii) West Antarctica - 5-7-km on Ferrigno, Fox, and Venable, with extreme retreat in the Amundsen and Getz sectors (Pine Island 33 km, Thwaites 26 km, Haynes 20 km, Pope 23 km, Smith 42 km, Kohler 12 km, East Getz 9 km toward Berry 18 km, Hull 14 km and Land 5 km). The ice sheet lost 12,820±1,873km2of grounded ice in 1996-2025, or 442±64 km2/year, with 62% from West Antarctica and 28% from East Antarctica. Retreat clusters in areas where bathymetry channelizes warm Circumpolar Deep Water toward deep grounding zones where beds are retrograde, except in the northeastern Antarctic Peninsula. The results provide a harmonized benchmark for ice grounding zone-based ice sheet models and identifies gateways where future retreat is likely to accelerate.