Skip to main content
Dryad

Data from: More intermittent mid-latitude precipitation accompanied extreme early Paleogene warmth

Data files

Dec 14, 2023 version files 140.43 KB
Jan 31, 2024 version files 155.38 KB
Feb 02, 2024 version files 155.56 KB
Apr 09, 2024 version files 149.52 KB
May 27, 2024 version files 155.75 KB
Sep 30, 2024 version files 156.29 KB
Apr 25, 2025 version files 292.22 KB
Aug 26, 2025 version files 292.02 KB
Oct 29, 2025 version files 311.99 KB

Click names to download individual files

Abstract

Warming is pushing the Earth system toward unfamiliar climate conditions, complicating predictions. Geological archives of past greenhouse climates provide essential tests for models under extreme forcing. We investigate how precipitation responded to extreme warmth during early Paleogene global warming events (66–47.8 million years ago) – a period considered a possible analogue for worst-case future scenarios. Here we compile global paleoclimate data and develop a multi-proxy approach that integrates sedimentary proxies - such as plant fossils, ancient soils and river deposits - providing constraints on global precipitation intermittency (seasonal and inter-annual variability) and intensity (rainfall rate). The data reveal wet or monsoonal polar regions, and aridity punctuated by intense rainfall at mid- and low-latitude continental interiors. This hydroclimate shift occurred 3 million years before and persisted 7 million years after the Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum – the warmest period of the Cenozoic Era, suggesting that extreme warmth induces non-linearities in the hydrological cycle’s sensitivity to temperature increase. Polar humidity and mid-latitude aridity further indicate a departure from the expected wet-gets-wetter and dry-gets-drier response. Shifts towards aridity were decoupled from mean annual precipitation and driven by seasonal and interannual precipitation distribution, such as shorter wet season length and longer interannual rainfall recurrence interval. This highlights the importance of considering precipitation intermittency and intensity, as similar shifts may occur under future warming despite differences in boundary conditions.