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Dryad

Increasing CO2 fertilises C4 grass production

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Jun 26, 2026 version files 3.54 MB

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Abstract

Rising atmospheric CO2 concentrations are impacting the global terrestrial biosphere through indirect climate effects and direct effects on plant performance. In tropical forests, long-term monitoring indicates a substantial CO2-driven carbon sink. C4-grass-dominated tropical and subtropical savannas contribute 30% of terrestrial net primary production, and yet equivalent long-term analyses of CO2 responses are lacking. Here, we show a clear and consistent result across a meta-analysis of 70 CO2-addition experiments and 32 years of in situ field observations from southern Africa: CO2 fertilization of wild C4 grasses is widespread in dry conditions. In experiments, grasses reduced stomatal conductance under higher CO2, limiting water loss while increasing carbon gain. In the field, improved water use efficiency translated into increased C4 grass biomass production across three decades of observations. Finally, simulations via the Community Land Model suggest that CO2 fertilization of C4 grass aboveground productivity may continue to increase under future conditions. Together, these results challenge the view that C4 grasses are unresponsive to increasing CO2, demonstrating instead that annual grass aboveground production in the field in Southern Africa has increased by 28% over three decades (a CO~2-~driven increase of 75.1 g m-2 [95% CI: 74.5-75.8 g m^-2^] or 0.37 tons C ha-1 of annual production). Whilst the fate of this carbon is uncertain (depending on feedbacks with fire, herbivory, and woody vegetation), effects on the global carbon cycle may be profound.