Skip to main content
Dryad

Archaeological evidence across four millennia indicates recent erosion of Chinook salmon age structure in California

Data files

Dec 03, 2025 version files 153.55 KB

Click names to download individual files

Abstract

Chinook salmon (Oncorhynchus tshawytscha) provide crucial ecosystem services, but their populations are in steep decline throughout most of their native range. These anadromous fish express a complex age structure, increasing resilience to disturbances. Recent decades have seen widespread diversity loss, but the lack of long-term baselines makes it difficult to assess this change. In this study, we collaborate with the Estom Yumeka Maidu Tribe of Enterprise Rancheria and use fish otoliths (ear stones) to reconstruct changes in age structure for California Central Valley Chinook salmon covering the last 4 millennia. Specifically, we compare the returner age structure of present-day hatchery and natural populations in the Feather and Yuba River (2002-2020) with archaeological data from the same watershed, spanning the Middle-Holocene (1800-1000 BCE) to the Late-Holocene (500-1770 CE) and Post-European-Contact (1770-1870 CE) time periods. We observe a shift to younger ages, from dominantly age-4 returners in the archaeological samples to age-3 fish in both hatchery and wild populations today. The recent time period also shows reduced variance and diversity in return ages compared to the Post-European-Contact time period, which has the most robust sample size of the archaeological collection. The shift to younger ages in returning fish may have caused losses in productivity, while the reduction in variance and diversity may have reduced their resilience to environmental stochasticity. The erosion of age structure since European Contact suggests anthropogenic factors, such as loss of freshwater and estuarine habitats, industrialized ocean fishing, and hatcheries, as potential contributors. Incorporating archaeological data into ecological assessments can help guard against hidden shifting baselines and inform restoration targets for more resilient populations. This dataset contains the ancient and modern otolith age data as well as associated metadata, including site location and time period. Furthermore, the scripts include all data processing and statistical analyses carried out in the manuscript.