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Dryad

Pupping and yearling survival in Galápagos Sea Lions: impact of maternal investment, environmental fluctuations and population decline

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Jun 04, 2026 version files 10.89 MB
Jul 13, 2026 version files 11.70 MB
Jul 21, 2026 version files 11.70 MB
Jul 21, 2026 version files 12.10 MB

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Abstract

The Galápagos sea lion (GSL) is an endangered marine apex predator that has experienced a 50-75% population decline over the last 50 years. Using 21 years of data, we present the first long-term analysis of pupping trends and pup survival in this species, revealing how extreme climate oscillations may shape population dynamics and future trends. We found that the Caamaño colony has been in decline since monitoring began in 2003 (-3%), with the rate accelerating significantly after the 2010 reproductive period (-8.4%). This pattern cannot be explained by climate effects or reduced female fecundity but is more likely the result of decreasing recruitment due to lowered juvenile survival. Whilst there has been no overall change in median pupping point, there has been a significant shortening of the duration of the pupping period (» 6 days / year) since the acceleration of the population decline. We found that pelagic foraging females give birth significantly earlier and appear to adapt the timing of parturition to variations in resource availability. Male pups are born significantly earlier suggesting sex differences in gestational length or implantation. Although climate does effect pup survival to yearling age, there has been no temporal change in survival over the study period. Body condition at birth and juvenile presence within the colony have a positive impact on pup survival. Our results confirm that GSL are highly adapted to deal with the extreme variability of their environment and that their continued decline is likely driven by factors not related to climate.